TPS Turku 1-0 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.6
No
59%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.9
6+ Goals
9%
8.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 29% vs market 17.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
58%
-17.1pp
59%
BTTS No
42%
+17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.19/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.58
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
3W-2D-1L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.06.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
29.04.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
18.02.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINYK
22.09.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-2 HT 2-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
31.07.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-1 HT 4-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
21.05.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
1-0
AWAY SJK Akatemia
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku squeezed past SJK Akatemia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, TPS Turku had 50% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 50%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for TPS Turku and 0.67 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia?

TPS Turku 1-0 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 41%, draw 28%, SJK Akatemia 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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