KTP Kotka 1-0 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.38
Over 2.5
43%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
5.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
17%
2.76
6+ Goals
9%
7.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.0 — our 31% vs market 15.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
38%
+18.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
62%
-18.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.6pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.79/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.16
+27% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
3W-0D-1L
AWAY PK-35 ry
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-5 HT 1-4 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
02.03.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-4 HT 0-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINYK
03.09.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
22.06.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
1-0
AWAY PK-35 ry
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka nicked a narrow win over PK-35 ry 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 50% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 50%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.25 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs PK-35 ry?

KTP Kotka 1-0 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 53%, draw 24%, PK-35 ry 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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