Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
411 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-2
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht edged past Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Excelsior Maassluis at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 57% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 43%, shots finished 5-17.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs BVV Barendrecht?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 41%, draw 29%, BVV Barendrecht 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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