Katwijk 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.15
Over 2.5
63%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
16%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.54/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.50
-24% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
1W-1D-2L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 1.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
380 Passes 217
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 31
26 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 3-2 HT 2-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
18.11.2023 Katwijk Katwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
06.04.2019 Katwijk Katwijk 2-3 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
10.03.2018 Katwijk Katwijk 2-2 HT 0-2 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
0-1
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche edged past Katwijk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Katwijk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Katwijk had 57% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 43%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Katwijk and 2.00 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Katwijk 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 41%, draw 25%, AFC Amsterdamsche 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
24 Aug 2024
15:30 HHC Hardenberg vs SV Spakenburg Analysis →
15:30 ACV vs Koninklijke HFC Analysis →
15:30 Excelsior Maassluis vs BVV Barendrecht Analysis →
15:30 Jong Almere City vs Scheveningen Analysis →
15:30 GVVV vs Rijnsburgse Boys Analysis →