HHC Hardenberg 3-1 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-8.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 53%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.34/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/2.04
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
2W-0D-0L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
177 Passes 322
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 2-0 HT 1-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
25.02.2017 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 2-0 HT 0-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
3-1
AWAY SV Spakenburg
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg beat SV Spakenburg 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 40% — and on the day HHC Hardenberg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 41% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 59%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 0.00 for SV Spakenburg.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs SV Spakenburg?

HHC Hardenberg 3-1 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 37%, draw 22%, SV Spakenburg 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Spakenburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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