Motor Lublin 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.0
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
14%
4.74
X/2
11%
6.83
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
15%
5.02
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.96/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.56
-32% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 69%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
28.0 Crosses 20.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
26.09.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-1 HT 0-1 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
0-0
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.07 xG 0.49
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 Passes 211
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin and Puszcza Niepolomice played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Motor Lublin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 57% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 43%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.07 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Motor Lublin 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 41%, draw 25%, Puszcza Niepolomice 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Motor Lublin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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