Piast Gliwice 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
10%
3.95
X/2
11%
8.7
X/X
13%
4.41
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
11%
7.2
2/X
7%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.45/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.75
-5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 70%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.2 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.62 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
337 Passes 381
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
07.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
12.02.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.07.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
05.03.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
12.09.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-0
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
0.43 xG 0.94
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
307 Passes 378
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice nicked a narrow win over Zaglebie Lubin 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Piast Gliwice as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 45% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 55%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.43 to 0.94 — the balance of chances actually favoured Zaglebie Lubin.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Piast Gliwice and 0.50 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Piast Gliwice 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 45%, draw 27%, Zaglebie Lubin 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
24 Aug 2024
15:45 Motor Lublin vs Puszcza Niepolomice Analysis →
18:30 Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze Analysis →