Haimen Codion 3-4 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haimen Codion EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 49%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+67% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haimen Codion
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.52 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
284 Passes 280
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2024 Haimen Codion Haimen Codion 1-3 HT 0-1 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen ÇİN2
17.08.2024 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 5-0 HT 4-0 Haimen Codion Haimen Codion ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Haimen Codion vs Guangxi Hengchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen squeezed past Haimen Codion 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Guangxi Hengchen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guangxi Hengchen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Haimen Codion and 4.00 for Guangxi Hengchen.

What was the final score of Haimen Codion vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Haimen Codion 3-4 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haimen Codion vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Haimen Codion 35%, draw 29%, Guangxi Hengchen 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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