Haimen Codion 1-3 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
29%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.9pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haimen Codion EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 56%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+69% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
206 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 73%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haimen Codion
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.50 xG 1.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
230 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 17
17.08.2024 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 5-0 HT 4-0 Haimen Codion Haimen Codion ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haimen Codion
1-3
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
0.53 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
339 Passes 235
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Haimen Codion vs Guangxi Hengchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen got the better of Haimen Codion 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guangxi Hengchen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haimen Codion had 56% of the ball to Guangxi Hengchen's 44%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.53 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Haimen Codion vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Haimen Codion 1-3 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haimen Codion vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Haimen Codion 25%, draw 29%, Guangxi Hengchen 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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