Foshan Nanshi 0-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.64
Over 2.5
33%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.42
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 40% vs market 31.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.5pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.16/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.28
+12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
230 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 69%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
18.6 Crosses 12.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 Passes 322
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
04.05.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 3-2 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
10.10.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
13.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
18.06.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
03.06.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-0 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding squeezed past Foshan Nanshi 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Yanbian Longding made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yanbian Longding led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.33 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longding?

Foshan Nanshi 0-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 39%, draw 32%, Yanbian Longding 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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