Ganzhou Ruishi 1-1 Hubei Istar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
53%
-14.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
22%
+15.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 25%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.37/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.48
-37% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.0 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hubei Istar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 0.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
146 Passes 254
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Hubei Istar Hubei Istar 1-2 HT 1-2 Ganzhou Ruishi Ganzhou Ruishi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi
1-1
AWAY Hubei Istar
1.50 xG 0.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
300 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hubei Istar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ganzhou Ruishi and Hubei Istar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ganzhou Ruishi had 52% of the ball to Hubei Istar's 48%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.50 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hubei Istar?

Ganzhou Ruishi 1-1 Hubei Istar in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hubei Istar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ganzhou Ruishi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ganzhou Ruishi 38%, draw 25%, Hubei Istar 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ganzhou Ruishi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ganzhou Ruishi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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