Guangxi Baoyun 2-2 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.79
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.19/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
+11% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +47%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
17.3 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.25 xG 0.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 Passes 235
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-1 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
19.08.2023 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 2-0 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
10.05.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 3-0 HT 2-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
15.09.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 3-0 HT 1-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
30.08.2022 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
2-2
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
1.36 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 10
256 Passes 265
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun and Shanghai Jiading shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guangxi Baoyun at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangxi Baoyun had 49% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 51%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.36 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 0.60 for Shanghai Jiading.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Shanghai Jiading?

Guangxi Baoyun 2-2 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 51%, draw 29%, Shanghai Jiading 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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