Guangzhou Evergrande 2-0 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.53
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.41/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.38
-12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
28.0 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.30 xG 0.16
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
360 Passes 149
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
14 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-1 HT 0-0 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
2-0
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
2.53 xG 0.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
152 Passes 147
61% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guangzhou Evergrande vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande got the better of Dalian Zhixing 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guangzhou Evergrande as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guangzhou Evergrande had 51% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 49%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.53 to 0.18.

What was the final score of Guangzhou Evergrande vs Dalian Zhixing?

Guangzhou Evergrande 2-0 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou Evergrande vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangzhou Evergrande win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou Evergrande 41%, draw 26%, Dalian Zhixing 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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