Dalian Zhixing 0-1 Guangzhou Evergrande — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.64
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.45
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 21%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.49/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.39
+21% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 66%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.5 Crosses 10.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
0-1
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
0.16 xG 1.30
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
149 Passes 360
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Guangzhou Evergrande
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande nicked a narrow win over Dalian Zhixing 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dalian Zhixing at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 35% of the ball to Guangzhou Evergrande's 65%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.16 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Dalian Zhixing 0-1 Guangzhou Evergrande in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 54%, draw 25%, Guangzhou Evergrande 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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