Yanbian Longding 3-2 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.59
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +12%
1.24/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.17
-19% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.6 Crosses 14.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.51 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 267
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
13.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
18.06.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
03.06.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-0 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding squeezed past Foshan Nanshi 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yanbian Longding as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yanbian Longding had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Yanbian Longding and 0.75 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi?

Yanbian Longding 3-2 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 51%, draw 25%, Foshan Nanshi 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yanbian Longding) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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