Qingdao Red Lions 2-3 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
6%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.29/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.11
+7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
23.4 Crosses 26.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
2-3
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
1.96 xG 2.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
182 Passes 295
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun edged past Qingdao Red Lions 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Red Lions had 42% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 58%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.96 to 2.22.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Yunnan Yukun?

Qingdao Red Lions 2-3 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 24%, draw 24%, Yunnan Yukun 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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