Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.82
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.40/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.21
+52% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
26.5 Crosses 12.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-0
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
0.77 xG 0.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
355 Passes 257
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long saw off Suzhou Dongwu 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 57% of the ball to Suzhou Dongwu's 43%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 54%, draw 25%, Suzhou Dongwu 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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