Borac Banja Luka 5-1 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 26%
+17% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.41/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.97
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borac Banja Luka
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.04.2025 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
15.04.2025 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
02.04.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSK
26.03.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-2 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
21.09.2024 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
20.04.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
POST-MATCH Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borac Banja Luka swept aside FK Sarajevo 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Borac Banja Luka as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borac Banja Luka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Borac Banja Luka and 0.67 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo?

Borac Banja Luka 5-1 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borac Banja Luka win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Borac Banja Luka 54%, draw 26%, FK Sarajevo 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
24 Aug 2025
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