Madura United 1-1 Persita Tangerang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.16/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.69
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Persita Tangerang
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 11
154 Passes 330
24.01.2025 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-1 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
24.08.2024 Madura United Madura United 0-1 HT 0-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
06.03.2024 Madura United Madura United 3-2 HT 2-2 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
01.09.2023 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-3 HT 1-2 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
15.02.2023 Madura United Madura United 1-1 HT 0-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
02.09.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madura United
1-1
AWAY Persita Tangerang
61% Ball Possession 39%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Persita Tangerang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United and Persita Tangerang couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Madura United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Madura United had 61% of the ball to Persita Tangerang's 39%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Madura United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Madura United and 1.00 for Persita Tangerang.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Persita Tangerang?

Madura United 1-1 Persita Tangerang in the Indonesia League 1 on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persita Tangerang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Madura United 44%, draw 28%, Persita Tangerang 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Madura United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Madura United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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