Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-0 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
0.57/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.71
-41% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -71%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
15.09.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
28.04.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
2-0
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) saw off Nojima Stella (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nojima Stella (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka (K) had 54% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 46%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cerezo Osaka (K) and 1.00 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-0 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nojima Stella (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 32%, draw 26%, Nojima Stella (K) 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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