Envigado 1-1 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
0.98/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.59
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / -38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
12.8 Crosses 11.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
251 Passes 334
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 2-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
30.10.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
06.04.2024 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
08.10.2023 Envigado Envigado 2-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
28.04.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
12.10.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.98 xG 0.78
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
161 Passes 300
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado and Deportivo Pereira shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pereira at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Envigado had 41% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 59%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.98 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Envigado and 1.33 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Deportivo Pereira?

Envigado 1-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Envigado 31%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pereira 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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