Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 42%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
0.63/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.85
-40% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.8 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.65 xG 0.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
308 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
22.09.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-3 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
10.03.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2-0
AWAY Santa Fe
1.18 xG 0.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF beat Santa Fe 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Fortaleza CEIF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 54% of the ball to Santa Fe's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.18 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 2.33 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe?

Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 32%, draw 28%, Santa Fe 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
24 Aug 2025
00:10 Envigado vs Deportivo Pereira Analysis →
04:30 Millonarios vs Junior Analysis →
22:00 Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima Analysis →