Santa Fe 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.18/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.37
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.6 Crosses 15.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.36 xG 0.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
200 Passes 302
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 6
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.09.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-3 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
10.03.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
2-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.25 xG 0.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
179 Passes 319
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe saw off Fortaleza CEIF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santa Fe had 41% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 59%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.25 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Santa Fe and 0.50 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Santa Fe 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 44%, draw 27%, Fortaleza CEIF 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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