La Equidad 0-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.9pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.1pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
0.73/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.18
-5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
10.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
12.5 Crosses 14.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
236 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
23.03.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-2 HT 1-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
16.07.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-2 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
16.02.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
06.08.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
17.06.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-5 HT 0-3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-0
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.34 xG 0.60
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
146 Passes 403
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
5 Box Touches 11
8 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad and Independiente Medellin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 35% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 31% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 69%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.34 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for La Equidad and 1.83 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Independiente Medellin?

La Equidad 0-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 27%, draw 35%, Independiente Medellin 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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