Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Mar 2025

Deportivo Pasto
1-0 HT 1-0
Llaneros
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pasto v Llaneros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 19%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.35/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.75
+22% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -52%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.5
20.2 Crosses 11.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Llaneros — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1-0
AWAY Llaneros
1.16 xG 0.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 8
260 Passes 373
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto edged past Llaneros 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 41% of the ball to Llaneros's 59%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?

Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 57%, draw 23%, Llaneros 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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