Atlante 4-0 Irapuato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Irapuato EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.71/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.39
-5% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Irapuato
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
31.01.2015 Irapuato Irapuato 0-2 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
09.08.2014 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 1-1 Irapuato Irapuato MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Irapuato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante swept aside Irapuato 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atlante and 0.50 for Irapuato.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Irapuato?

Atlante 4-0 Irapuato in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Irapuato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Atlante 59%, draw 21%, Irapuato 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
24 Aug 2025
04:00 Cancun FC vs Monarcas Morelia Analysis →
04:00 Mineros de Zacatecas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Analysis →
21:00 Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos UAT Analysis →