Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
11%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.76
No
38%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
20%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
11%
Away Win
15%
-3.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.9pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
2.08/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.23
+6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
18.01.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
03.08.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
29.02.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
12.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
22.03.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-6 HT 2-3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
11.08.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas and Alebrijes de Oaxaca shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mineros de Zacatecas at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.67 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 66%, draw 23%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 11%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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