Tlaxcala 0-2 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.9
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.78/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.69
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
17.01.2025 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
04.08.2024 Tlaxcala 3-2 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
02.03.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
02.11.2023 Tlaxcala 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
22.04.2023 Tlaxcala 0-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
24.08.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-2 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT saw off Tlaxcala 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tlaxcala at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tlaxcala and 0.83 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos UAT?

Tlaxcala 0-2 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 55%, draw 20%, Correcaminos UAT 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✗ BTTS Yes
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