Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
42%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.3pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.7pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-13.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
0.86/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.81
-26% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -63%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
03.08.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
29.02.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
12.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
22.03.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-6 HT 2-3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
11.08.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
23.02.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-2 HT 2-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas squeezed past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mineros de Zacatecas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 2.33 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 25%, draw 33%, Mineros de Zacatecas 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ Under 2.5
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