Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.30/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.47
-14% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
5 Corners 4
04.08.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
20.03.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
31.08.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
22.03.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
12.10.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
09.02.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos and Cancun FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tepatitlán de Morelos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.17 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancun FC?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 48%, draw 27%, Cancun FC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
18 Jan 2025
04:00 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas Analysis →
06:00 Venados vs CDS Tampico Madero Analysis →
06:05 CD Tapatio vs Monarcas Morelia Analysis →