Venados 1-2 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.77/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.32
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.08.2024 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 0-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero nicked a narrow win over Venados 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Venados at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Venados vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Venados 1-2 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Venados 53%, draw 25%, CDS Tampico Madero 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Venados), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venados) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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