CD Tapatio 1-0 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.18/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.38
-15% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.08.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-4 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
18.02.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
18.09.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.05.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 0-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
18.05.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-2 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
10.02.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio nicked a narrow win over Monarcas Morelia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Tapatio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.00 for Monarcas Morelia.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Monarcas Morelia?

CD Tapatio 1-0 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 46%, draw 25%, Monarcas Morelia 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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