Shooting Stars 0-1 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.62/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.15
+2% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +37%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bayelsa United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2025 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 3-0 HT 2-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
24.11.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
16.06.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-1 HT 0-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United nicked a narrow win over Shooting Stars 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Shooting Stars carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayelsa United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shooting Stars and 1.67 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Shooting Stars 0-1 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 60%, draw 23%, Bayelsa United 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shooting Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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