Vard Haugesund 1-1 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2025

Vard Haugesund
1-1 HT 1-0
Notodden
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2025

Vard Haugesund vs Notodden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
Over 2.5
62%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.56
6+ Goals
18%
6.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+1.0pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vard Haugesund v Notodden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
2.02/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.07
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
275 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vard Haugesund vs Notodden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Notodden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Notodden Notodden 2-1 HT 0-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
26.10.2024 Notodden Notodden 4-0 HT 3-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
04.05.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 3-1 HT 0-1 Notodden Notodden NOR3
15.07.2023 Notodden Notodden 5-1 HT 2-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
24.06.2023 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 3-4 HT 1-1 Notodden Notodden NOR3
20.08.2022 Notodden Notodden 0-0 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund and Notodden couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Vard Haugesund carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notodden led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vard Haugesund and 2.67 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Notodden?

Vard Haugesund 1-1 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vard Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 57%, draw 20%, Notodden 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vard Haugesund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vard Haugesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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