Surnadal 4-6 Rosenborg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
3.17
Draw
13%
4.62
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
1.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
41%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
34%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
28%
+13.3pp
13%
Draw
18%
-5.6pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Surnadal EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 58%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.44/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.66
+87% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +147%
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
208 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Surnadal
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rosenborg II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2025 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 1-1 HT 0-1 Surnadal Surnadal NOR4
30.09.2024 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 3-1 HT 1-1 Surnadal Surnadal NOR4
22.07.2024 Surnadal Surnadal 0-4 HT 0-2 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
POST-MATCH Surnadal vs Rosenborg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg II beat Surnadal 6-4 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 13% / 46% — and on the day Rosenborg II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rosenborg II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Surnadal and 2.67 for Rosenborg II.

What was the final score of Surnadal vs Rosenborg II?

Surnadal 4-6 Rosenborg II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Surnadal vs Rosenborg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Surnadal 41%, draw 13%, Rosenborg II 46%. The final score 4-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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