Porto II 0-2 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2025

Porto II
0-2 HT 0-2
Farense
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Porto II vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.78
Over
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
2.88
2-3
44%
1.7
4-5
19%
3.57
6+
8%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.88 — our 29% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Porto II v Farense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.18/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.14
+19% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.1 Crosses 23.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Porto II vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Farense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
307 Passes 293
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.05.2023 Farense Farense 2-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
28.12.2022 Porto II Porto II 4-0 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR2
13.03.2022 Farense Farense 2-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
23.10.2021 Porto II Porto II 0-0 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR2
09.02.2020 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 0-1 Farense Farense POR2
25.08.2019 Farense Farense 1-3 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2

Porto II 0-2 Farense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
0-2
AWAY Farense
0.51 xG 1.19
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
369 Passes 216
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense got the better of Porto II 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Farense made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Porto II had 61% of the ball to Farense's 39%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.51 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Porto II and 1.00 for Farense.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Farense?

Porto II 0-2 Farense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Porto II 29%, draw 32%, Farense 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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