Maritimo 1-0 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.64
Over
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.21/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.25
-12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Feirense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
292 Passes 218
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2025 Maritimo Maritimo 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
23.11.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
27.04.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 3-2 HT 0-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
17.12.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-1 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
14.04.2019 Maritimo Maritimo 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
10.12.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-1 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
1-0
AWAY CD Feirense
0.73 xG 0.46
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
229 Passes 131
77% Pass Accuracy 60%
19 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maritimo vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo edged past CD Feirense 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Maritimo had 61% of the ball to CD Feirense's 39%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.73 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maritimo and 0.83 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs CD Feirense?

Maritimo 1-0 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 44%, draw 30%, CD Feirense 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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