UD Oliveirense 1-0 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2025

UD Oliveirense
1-0 HT 1-0
Sporting CP II
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

UD Oliveirense vs Sporting CP II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.78
Over
56%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.86
2-3
40%
1.7
4-5
25%
3.59
6+
11%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.9pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UD Oliveirense v Sporting CP II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.52/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.52
+22% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.9 Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

UD Oliveirense vs Sporting CP II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting CP II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
The Meetings
04.11.2015 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
18.03.2015 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
27.10.2014 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
30.03.2014 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 3-2 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2

UD Oliveirense 1-0 Sporting CP II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
1-0
AWAY Sporting CP II
1.24 xG 0.73
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 9
227 Passes 425
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Oliveirense nicked a narrow win over Sporting CP II 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 38% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 62%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.24 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.75 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Sporting CP II?

UD Oliveirense 1-0 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 34%, draw 25%, Sporting CP II 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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