Maritimo 1-1 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.74
Over
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.82
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
18%
3.8
6+
9%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.82 — our 33% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.28/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.24
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.5 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Feirense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.82 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 Passes 218
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
11 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
27.04.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 3-2 HT 0-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
17.12.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-1 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
14.04.2019 Maritimo Maritimo 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
10.12.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-1 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
25.11.2018 Maritimo Maritimo 0-3 HT 0-2 CD Feirense CD Feirense POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
1-1
AWAY CD Feirense
0.36 xG 0.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
272 Passes 220
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maritimo vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo and CD Feirense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Maritimo had 58% of the ball to CD Feirense's 42%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.36 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Maritimo and 1.17 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs CD Feirense?

Maritimo 1-1 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 42%, draw 29%, CD Feirense 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maritimo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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