Felgueiras 1932 3-3 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.12
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.48
6+
10%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.57
-12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.9 Crosses 15.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Benfica II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 2.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
51 Passes 283
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 2-0 HT 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
3-3
AWAY Benfica II
2.30 xG 2.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 1
122 Passes 299
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 and Benfica II shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Felgueiras 1932 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 51% of the ball to Benfica II's 49%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.30 to 2.38.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Benfica II?

Felgueiras 1932 3-3 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 41%, draw 27%, Benfica II 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ BTTS Yes
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