Radnik Surdulica 1-2 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.24/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.40
-29% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.0 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.66 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
315 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 4-0 HT 2-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
28.10.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-1 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1-2
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo edged past Radnik Surdulica 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Radnik Surdulica at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 50% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 50%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zeleznicar Pancevo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 2.50 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Radnik Surdulica 1-2 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 42%, draw 27%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radnik Surdulica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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