Spartak Subotica 1-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.17/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.37
+0% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.0 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
257 Passes 409
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.07.2025 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar HAZ
23.11.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
21.07.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-2 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
13.05.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
08.03.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
21.12.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.73 xG 1.63
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
403 Passes 198
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
30 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica and Novi Pazar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 63% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 37%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.73 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Subotica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.00 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar?

Spartak Subotica 1-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 39%, draw 24%, Novi Pazar 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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