Wimborne Town 1-0 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.66
No
61%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
56%
-17.5pp
61%
BTTS No
44%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wimborne Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
0.77/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.60
-51% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wimborne Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gosport Borough
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
18.12.2021 Wimborne Town Wimborne Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
01.12.2021 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 2-0 HT 0-0 Wimborne Town Wimborne Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Wimborne Town vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wimborne Town nicked a narrow win over Gosport Borough 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Wimborne Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wimborne Town and 1.50 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of Wimborne Town vs Gosport Borough?

Wimborne Town 1-0 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wimborne Town vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wimborne Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wimborne Town 39%, draw 24%, Gosport Borough 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wimborne Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wimborne Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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