Poole Town 3-1 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.4pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.48/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.08
-15% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.04.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 2-2 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
01.04.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 1-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
28.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
28.01.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 4-0 HT 3-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town got the better of Plymouth Parkway 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Poole Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Plymouth Parkway led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Poole Town and 1.75 for Plymouth Parkway.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Poole Town 3-1 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 45%, draw 29%, Plymouth Parkway 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Poole Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Poole Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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