Cagliari vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cagliari v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals
Cagliari vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cremonese
İTK
1-0
HT 0-0
Cremonese
HAZ
Cagliari 1-0 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics
Cagliari edged past Cremonese 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cagliari as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Cagliari had 49% of the ball to Cremonese's 51%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.83 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cagliari's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cagliari had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cagliari and 0.00 for Cremonese.
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Cremonese?
Cagliari 1-0 Cremonese in the Italy - Cup on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Cremonese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 46%, draw 28%, Cremonese 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagliari), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.