Torino 1-2 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 24 Sep 2024

Torino
1-2 HT 0-1
Empoli
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2024/2025

Torino vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.9
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.05
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.3
X/1
18%
3.66
X/2
6%
11.0
X/X
10%
4.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
2/2
8%
9.43
2/X
5%
17.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Torino v Empoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.22/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.36/1.91
+2% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
41.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28.6 Crosses –
0.7 Yellow Cards –

Torino vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Empoli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.68 xG 0.55
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Empoli Empoli 3-2 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
16.12.2023 Torino Torino 1-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
28.01.2023 Empoli Empoli 2-2 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
09.10.2022 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
01.05.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-3 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
02.12.2021 Torino Torino 2-2 HT 2-1 Empoli Empoli İTA

Torino 1-2 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
1-2
AWAY Empoli
1.65 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 292
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torino vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli edged past Torino 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Torino carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Torino had 56% of the ball to Empoli's 44%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.65 to 1.07 — on chances, Torino could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torino had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Torino and 1.50 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Torino vs Empoli?

Torino 1-2 Empoli in the Italy - Cup on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Torino 59%, draw 22%, Empoli 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Torino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torino) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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