Burnley U21 3-1 Crewe Alexandra U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
4.0
Over 2.5
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.41
No
34%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.1pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.1pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.1pp
66%
BTTS Yes
67%
-1.1pp
34%
BTTS No
33%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
3.70/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.54
+38% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
29.03.2024 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 1-3 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 INGPDL
18.03.2024 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 2-4 HT 2-0 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 saw off Crewe Alexandra U21 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burnley U21 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Burnley U21 and 2.50 for Crewe Alexandra U21.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Burnley U21 3-1 Crewe Alexandra U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 60%, draw 17%, Crewe Alexandra U21 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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