Essen-Schönebeck (K) 1-2 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
47%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.68
No
37%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.7pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.10/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.94
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
10.6 Crosses 24.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Köln (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.42 xG 0.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
242 Passes 272
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2025 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB
15.09.2024 Köln (K) Köln (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
1-2
AWAY Köln (K)
0.43 xG 2.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 0
281 Passes 251
67% Pass Accuracy 66%
11 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln (K) squeezed past Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Köln (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 53% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 47%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.43 to 2.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Köln (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Essen-Schönebeck (K) and 1.00 for Köln (K).

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Köln (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 1-2 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 28%, draw 25%, Köln (K) 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Köln (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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