Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 Nürnberg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.25
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
76%
+0.3pp
15%
Draw
15%
+0.3pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.08/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.89
-11% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
24.5 Crosses 5.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nürnberg (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.27 xG 0.73
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
419 Passes 192
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
39 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Nürnberg (K) Nürnberg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1-1
AWAY Nürnberg (K)
1.95 xG 0.29
80% Ball Possession 20%
24 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
635 Passes 85
88% Pass Accuracy 52%
36 Box Touches 5
32 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Nürnberg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) and Nürnberg (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hoffenheim (K) at 76% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 80% of the ball to Nürnberg (K)'s 20%, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 1.95 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 Nürnberg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 76%, draw 15%, Nürnberg (K) 9%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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