Wolfsburg (K) 4-2 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
72%
+1.7pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.0pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
3.01/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.00
+23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
35.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
26.1 Crosses 12.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.65 xG 0.78
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
452 Passes 200
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.12.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
02.09.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 3-3 HT 1-2 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
4-2
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
3.28 xG 1.68
65% Ball Possession 35%
28 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
422 Passes 186
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
39 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) beat Werder Bremen (K) 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 65% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 35%, shots finished 28-12, expected goals 3.28 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Wolfsburg (K) and 2.00 for Werder Bremen (K).

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 4-2 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 74%, draw 15%, Werder Bremen (K) 11%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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